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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+3.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.93+3.74vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.36+1.52vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.40+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.25-0.14vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.87+5.71vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.45+0.17vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.33-3.25vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.33-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+3.66vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.09+0.93vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.98vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech-1.79+0.98vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.77-3.63vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University-1.17-3.19vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-1.80-2.17vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.76-6.66vs Predicted
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19Penn State University-2.27-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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5.74Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.52Clemson University1.360.2%1st Place
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7.37Florida State University0.400.1%1st Place
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4.86University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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11.71William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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4.75North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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9.09Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.93University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.02Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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14.98Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.37University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.81North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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14.83William and Mary-1.800.0%1st Place
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11.34Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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15.93Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsy Waack | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Stoner | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.2% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| David Sutton | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Will Brooks | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Skelton | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 18.9% |
| Andrew Houghton | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.