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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.53+3.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.93+3.72vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.36+1.55vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.45+3.20vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.40+2.54vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.87+5.71vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.33-2.48vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina1.25-3.07vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99+3.12vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.16-0.80vs Predicted
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11Washington College-0.76+0.45vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-1.80+3.20vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-1.79+1.64vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.77-2.43vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University-1.17-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-1.43vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-1.09-4.45vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.27-1.79vs Predicted
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19University of Maryland-0.33-9.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Jacksonville University1.530.2%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.55Clemson University1.360.2%1st Place
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7.2University of Maryland0.450.1%1st Place
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7.54Florida State University0.400.0%1st Place
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11.71William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.52North Carolina State University1.330.1%1st Place
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4.93University of South Carolina1.250.1%1st Place
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12.12Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.2Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.45Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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15.2William and Mary-1.800.0%1st Place
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14.64Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.57University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.75North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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14.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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16.21Penn State University-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Perez | 17.7% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsy Waack | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gruskos | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurban Ali | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Houghton | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Skelton | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 18.3% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Will Brooks | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| Alexander Weisel | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Mitchell Reel | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 33.7% |
| Jacob Stoner | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.