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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.18+2.45vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute0.81+2.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-0.08vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65-1.15vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52-1.97vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.37vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.01-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45SUNY Maritime College1.180.2%1st Place
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4.0Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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2.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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2.85Columbia University1.650.3%1st Place
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3.03Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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5.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.12Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Sesack | 17.1% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 10.0% | 2.9% |
| Ben Hunt | 9.3% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 25.9% | 15.0% | 4.7% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 22.2% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Adam DeVita | 25.8% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 20.8% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Micayla Beyer | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 35.7% | 32.4% |
| John Colby | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 24.4% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.