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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.65+1.75vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute0.81+1.98vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.18+0.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-1.04vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.65vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.52-2.97vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.01-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Columbia University1.650.3%1st Place
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3.98Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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3.49SUNY Maritime College1.180.1%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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5.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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3.03Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.15Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DeVita | 27.5% | 21.7% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Ben Hunt | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 25.2% | 15.6% | 4.3% |
| William Sesack | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 22.2% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Micayla Beyer | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 39.3% | 31.3% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 21.7% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| John Colby | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 21.1% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.