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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.92vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.52+0.93vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.81+1.05vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.18-0.49vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65-2.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.38vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.01-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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2.93Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.05Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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3.51SUNY Maritime College1.180.2%1st Place
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2.85Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.62SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.12Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Krzeszowski | 24.1% | 21.9% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 22.0% | 22.0% | 20.9% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Ben Hunt | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 24.7% | 15.4% | 5.3% |
| William Sesack | 15.3% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 9.6% | 2.3% |
| Adam DeVita | 24.4% | 23.6% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Micayla Beyer | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 36.6% | 31.8% |
| John Colby | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 23.3% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.