← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University1.65+1.78vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.61vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University1.52-0.01vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.18-0.48vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-2.04vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-1.01+0.23vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute0.81-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.78Columbia University1.650.3%1st Place
-
5.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
-
2.99Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
-
3.52SUNY Maritime College1.180.2%1st Place
-
2.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.2%1st Place
-
6.23Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
-
3.91Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DeVita | 25.3% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Micayla Beyer | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 38.7% | 30.9% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 21.1% | 20.0% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| William Sesack | 15.3% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 9.8% | 2.1% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 21.1% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| John Colby | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 21.9% | 60.8% |
| Ben Hunt | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 18.3% | 23.9% | 15.8% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.