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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.95+2.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.03vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+0.13vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute0.81+0.30vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65-2.02vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.01+0.43vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97SUNY Maritime College0.950.1%1st Place
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3.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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3.13Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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4.3Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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2.98Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.43Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.16SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Ellis | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 7.4% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 21.4% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 20.4% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hunt | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 25.7% | 7.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 22.6% | 22.9% | 18.7% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| John Colby | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 75.5% |
| James Gilmore III | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.