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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.95+2.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56+1.01vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute0.81+1.25vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52-0.81vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.65-2.03vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.01+0.42vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96SUNY Maritime College0.950.1%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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4.25Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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3.19Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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2.97Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.42Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.19SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Ellis | 12.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 7.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 22.0% | 20.8% | 20.5% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 6.6% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 19.8% | 18.2% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Adam DeVita | 23.0% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| John Colby | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 75.2% |
| James Gilmore III | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.3% | 24.6% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.