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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Columbia University-0.24+1.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12+0.60vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.11vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.43-0.85vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.47-1.78vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.72-2.40vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Columbia University-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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1.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.5%1st Place
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4.15Columbia University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.22Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.6Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.76SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabel De La Torre | 12.0% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 7.6% |
| Samuel Parsons | 13.2% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 48.8% | 28.0% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 7.9% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 8.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 8.6% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 10.2% |
| Dane Brazinski | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 23.6% | 15.7% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.