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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+4.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+4.12vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+3.56vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.17vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.40+2.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+0.21vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.75-0.30vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.70-2.05vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.91-3.61vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.41-2.90vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.48-7.92vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.56-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.17Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.87College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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8.39Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.1Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.28Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Carly Shevitz | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% |
| Bethany Leonard | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Fiske | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Bianca Rom | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.