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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.95+6.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.98+2.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+3.67vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.18+2.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+0.29vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46+1.41vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.82-0.47vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.53+2.53vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.42-1.38vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University-0.93+1.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.76vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.77-5.73vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.84-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Boston University0.956.5%1st Place
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4.18Brown University1.9817.8%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University1.087.2%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University1.188.9%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University1.6012.3%1st Place
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7.41Salve Regina University0.466.1%1st Place
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5.47Yale University1.5911.8%1st Place
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7.53University of Rhode Island0.826.5%1st Place
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11.53McGill University-0.531.8%1st Place
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8.62Fairfield University0.424.2%1st Place
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12.41Salve Regina University-0.931.3%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.7%1st Place
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7.27Northeastern University0.775.9%1st Place
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12.28Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont0.845.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Balunas | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Charles Gish | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 19.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 21.7% | 33.4% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 8.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 31.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.