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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12+0.62vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.24-0.18vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.72-0.42vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.43-1.86vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-1.13vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.47-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.5%1st Place
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3.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.82Columbia University-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.58Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.14Columbia University-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.02Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 48.5% | 24.8% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Parsons | 11.9% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 10.2% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 6.8% |
| Dane Brazinski | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 23.0% | 15.3% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 10.1% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 53.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.