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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.43+3.04vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.05vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.47+0.17vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+0.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-2.34vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-0.24-3.20vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.72-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Columbia University-0.430.1%1st Place
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1.95Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.5%1st Place
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4.17Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.9SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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3.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.8Columbia University-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.48Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 8.7% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 47.5% | 27.4% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 9.7% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 55.3% |
| Samuel Parsons | 12.2% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 5.4% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 11.5% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
| Dane Brazinski | 6.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.