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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.05vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.47+1.12vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.24-0.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-1.36vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.43-1.85vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.72-2.46vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.5%1st Place
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4.12Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.83Columbia University-0.240.1%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.15Columbia University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.54Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.76SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 48.2% | 25.7% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 9.2% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 9.5% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 10.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 6.6% |
| Samuel Parsons | 13.2% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 8.6% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 9.9% |
| Dane Brazinski | 7.1% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 16.3% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 17.2% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.