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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.92vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.47+2.16vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.24-0.17vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+0.92vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.72-1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-3.37vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.43-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.5%1st Place
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4.16Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.83Columbia University-0.240.1%1st Place
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5.92SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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4.59Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.96Columbia University-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew O'Brien | 49.6% | 24.9% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 10.1% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 6.4% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 1.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 54.7% |
| Dane Brazinski | 6.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 16.5% |
| Samuel Parsons | 12.5% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 4.8% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 11.6% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.