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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+4.77vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.09vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.24+0.82vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.47+0.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-2.35vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.72-2.40vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.43-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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1.91Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.5%1st Place
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3.82Columbia University-0.240.1%1st Place
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4.24Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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3.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.6Syracuse University-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.0Columbia University-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaura Mudgal | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 51.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 48.6% | 26.4% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 11.5% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 5.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 8.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 15.9% | 11.4% |
| Samuel Parsons | 11.9% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% |
| Dane Brazinski | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 17.5% |
| Pierre Casenave-Pere | 10.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.