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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.13+0.91vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.70-0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+1.31vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-0.18vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.17+0.50vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.02-2.44vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.60-0.83vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.18-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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2.91University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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2.06University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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5.31University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.82Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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4.56Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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7.17Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.88Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 12.2% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 20.7% | 24.1% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grant Glover | 44.1% | 26.2% | 15.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Will Brooks | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 23.8% | 13.2% |
| Henry Sanders | 6.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Jack Rodman | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 18.7% | 27.6% | 27.6% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 22.8% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.