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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.70+0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.13-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+1.29vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-0.19vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.02-1.48vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.60+0.21vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.17-1.50vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.18-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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2.19University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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2.79University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.81Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.52Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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7.21Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.89Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 13.1% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 38.4% | 28.8% | 17.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 24.1% | 25.4% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Lowry | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 17.4% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 6.8% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Henry Sanders | 7.8% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack Rodman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 32.3% | 26.3% |
| Will Brooks | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 22.1% | 22.2% | 14.4% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 11.0% | 21.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.