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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.47+2.87vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.70+0.25vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.02+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois1.13-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.20-0.76vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-1.06vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.17-0.50vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.18-0.27vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.42-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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2.25University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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4.64Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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4.24University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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4.94Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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6.5North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.73Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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8.01Ohio State University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Shanabrook | 12.9% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Grant Glover | 36.3% | 29.3% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 23.7% | 23.6% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Mackay | 8.5% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 6.5% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 16.7% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Will Brooks | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 30.2% | 23.3% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 35.8% | 37.5% |
| Stephen King | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 10.9% | 26.3% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.