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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lucia Albelda Gimeno 24.7% 21.7% 19.7% 16.6% 9.9% 5.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Grant Glover 36.2% 29.7% 16.3% 10.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Reid Shanabrook 11.3% 14.5% 16.0% 19.6% 17.5% 14.0% 5.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Henry Sanders 8.0% 10.5% 12.0% 14.7% 19.6% 17.5% 13.5% 3.5% 0.7%
Colin Mackay 9.1% 12.4% 17.9% 15.2% 17.3% 15.6% 8.2% 3.4% 0.9%
Margot Sherman Jollis 6.2% 6.5% 10.2% 13.9% 16.7% 22.5% 17.1% 5.9% 1.0%
Stephen King 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 3.3% 10.0% 26.7% 52.7%
Andrew Hakopian 1.3% 0.7% 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 4.9% 12.5% 35.7% 37.0%
Will Brooks 2.5% 3.5% 4.4% 4.9% 8.2% 15.2% 30.4% 23.2% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.