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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.13+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.70+0.26vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+0.89vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.02+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.20-0.79vs Predicted
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6Denison University-0.21-1.00vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.42+1.05vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.18-0.29vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.17-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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2.26University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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3.89Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.56Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.0Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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8.05Ohio State University-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.71Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.42North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 24.7% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 36.2% | 29.7% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Colin Mackay | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Stephen King | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 10.0% | 26.7% | 52.7% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 12.5% | 35.7% | 37.0% |
| Will Brooks | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 30.4% | 23.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.