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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+1.21vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+2.86vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+1.24vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.24-0.59vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.02-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois1.13-3.97vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.17-1.07vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.18-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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4.28Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.24Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.41Ohio State University0.240.1%1st Place
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4.9Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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6.93North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.13Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 40.2% | 25.6% | 18.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| John Lowry | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 5.7% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 3.1% |
| Ian Pippert-Ladd | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Henry Sanders | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 20.8% | 24.7% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Brooks | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 31.4% | 21.4% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 15.7% | 65.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.