Race 2A

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lorenzo Puertas 46.8% 27.2% 15.0% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marco Constantini 11.3% 14.4% 17.4% 17.6% 15.7% 11.6% 7.5% 4.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 15.9% 21.2% 20.7% 17.8% 12.8% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Reed Rossell 2.5% 4.0% 6.0% 6.8% 9.2% 13.0% 17.9% 28.5% 11.1% 1.0%
Josh Hacker 3.4% 4.3% 7.4% 8.5% 12.0% 15.3% 20.2% 22.1% 6.1% 0.7%
Ella Beck 7.5% 9.8% 11.7% 14.1% 16.4% 16.4% 13.1% 8.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Alex Cross 6.5% 9.9% 11.1% 13.5% 14.9% 15.8% 15.2% 10.3% 2.7% 0.1%
Casey Dietsch 5.2% 7.8% 9.6% 12.8% 13.9% 16.9% 17.4% 13.0% 3.2% 0.2%
Piper Luke 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 4.9% 30.3% 58.0%
Cooper Avery 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.9% 7.3% 44.0% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.