← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University0.95+6.39vs Predicted
-
2Yale University1.59+3.62vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.08+3.95vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.98+0.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.30+1.20vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.77+1.42vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.84+0.95vs Predicted
-
8Fairfield University0.42+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.60-3.68vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.46-2.54vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.18-4.74vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-1.87vs Predicted
-
13Bates College-0.67-0.60vs Predicted
-
14McGill University-0.53-2.41vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-0.93-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.39Boston University0.955.8%1st Place
-
5.62Yale University1.5910.8%1st Place
-
6.95Tufts University1.087.8%1st Place
-
4.19Brown University1.9818.2%1st Place
-
6.2University of Rhode Island1.308.2%1st Place
-
7.42Northeastern University0.777.5%1st Place
-
7.95University of Vermont0.845.0%1st Place
-
8.54Fairfield University0.424.5%1st Place
-
5.32Roger Williams University1.6011.5%1st Place
-
7.46Salve Regina University0.465.7%1st Place
-
6.26Tufts University1.188.5%1st Place
-
10.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.033.1%1st Place
-
12.4Bates College-0.671.0%1st Place
-
11.59McGill University-0.531.6%1st Place
-
12.58Salve Regina University-0.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Balunas | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Charles Gish | 18.2% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Jack Roman | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 30.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 18.8% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.