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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.13+2.01vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.02+3.10vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.70-1.79vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21+0.21vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.24-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.48-1.18vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.18+0.14vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.17-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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5.1Syracuse University0.020.1%1st Place
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4.13Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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5.21Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.47Ohio State University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.14Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.91North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 22.8% | 22.5% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Grant Glover | 38.3% | 28.9% | 16.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Ian Pippert-Ladd | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| John Lowry | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 65.8% |
| Will Brooks | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 35.1% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.