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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.13+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.70+0.08vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+1.03vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-0.44vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.12+0.15vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.18+0.80vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.60-1.06vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.17-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Illinois1.130.3%1st Place
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2.08University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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3.56Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.56Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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6.15Syracuse University-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.8Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
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6.94Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.25North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 26.7% | 24.7% | 22.9% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 39.9% | 32.3% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 13.2% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Lowry | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 2.6% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Regina Trejo | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 19.3% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 52.3% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 24.7% | 23.8% |
| Will Brooks | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 22.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.