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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.70+0.96vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.47+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.13-0.35vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.48+0.02vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.60+0.92vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.17-0.71vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.12-1.85vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.18-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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3.72Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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2.65University of Illinois1.130.3%1st Place
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4.59Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.92Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.29North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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6.15Syracuse University-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.7Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Glover | 44.4% | 30.8% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.2% | 14.9% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 25.6% | 27.2% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| John Lowry | 4.9% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Jack Rodman | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 18.4% | 24.6% | 23.7% |
| Will Brooks | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 20.3% | 10.9% |
| Regina Trejo | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 11.5% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 20.3% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.