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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.13+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.70+0.31vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.47+1.08vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.24+0.35vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20-1.52vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.12-0.24vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.17-1.19vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-2.18-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Illinois1.130.2%1st Place
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2.31University of Michigan1.700.4%1st Place
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4.08Virginia Tech0.470.1%1st Place
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4.35Ohio State University0.240.1%1st Place
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5.12Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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6.76Syracuse University-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.81North Carolina State University-1.170.0%1st Place
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8.07Ohio State University-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Albelda Gimeno | 23.4% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Glover | 35.7% | 28.1% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 10.9% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Ian Pippert-Ladd | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 3.8% |
| Colin Mackay | 8.9% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Regina Trejo | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 20.8% | 30.4% | 15.0% |
| Will Brooks | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 29.0% | 18.7% |
| Andrew Hakopian | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 18.7% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.