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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+0.93vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.72+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.26-0.23vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.23+0.46vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.18-0.51vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.97-0.14vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.16+0.22vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.00-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Virginia Tech1.150.5%1st Place
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4.86University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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3.77University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.46Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.49Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.86North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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8.22Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.18Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 47.6% | 27.7% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.1% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 17.6% | 22.2% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pribe | 12.4% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 5.3% |
| John Bennet | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 3.8% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 34.8% | 16.7% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 69.0% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.