← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-1.00+4.37vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-1.97+5.33vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech1.15-1.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-0.72+0.73vs Predicted
-
5University of Illinois0.16-1.83vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-1.23-0.23vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo-1.22-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-0.91-2.83vs Predicted
-
9Denison University-1.18-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.37Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
-
7.33North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
-
1.93Virginia Tech1.150.5%1st Place
-
4.73University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
-
3.17University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
-
5.77Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
-
5.83University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
-
5.17Ohio State University-0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.69Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Madelyn Giles | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 42.9% |
| Nicholas Brady | 45.9% | 29.4% | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.5% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 3.8% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 19.5% | 24.3% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
| Mark Myers | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| John Bennet | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.