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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.16+1.39vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.00+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.72+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.22+0.66vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.23-0.20vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.91-1.80vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.18-2.29vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.97-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Virginia Tech1.150.5%1st Place
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3.39University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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5.45Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Toledo-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.8Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.2Ohio State University-0.910.1%1st Place
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5.71Denison University-1.180.1%1st Place
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7.15North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 49.4% | 26.9% | 13.7% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 14.6% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 8.8% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% |
| Kristen Ruta | 4.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% |
| Mark Myers | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| John Bennet | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.