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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.72+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.16+1.34vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.15-1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.26-0.20vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.97+1.69vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.23-0.41vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.18-1.46vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.16+0.23vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.00-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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1.92Virginia Tech1.150.5%1st Place
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3.8University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.69North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.59Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.54Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.23Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.2Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Ellsworth | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 13.4% | 24.1% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Brady | 48.5% | 27.2% | 13.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Pribe | 12.4% | 15.3% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 30.6% | 17.8% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| John Bennet | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 69.4% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.