Race 14A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Christopher Chwalk 8.5% 10.1% 8.5% 9.3% 8.2% 9.8% 9.0% 8.9% 7.8% 6.1% 5.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Jack Roman 13.2% 10.7% 10.8% 9.8% 11.5% 9.4% 9.4% 7.4% 6.8% 4.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Dylan Balunas 6.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.7% 8.5% 6.9% 7.0% 8.4% 9.6% 8.1% 7.0% 6.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Oliver Keeves 7.3% 8.3% 5.7% 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.6% 9.4% 7.0% 6.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Peter Taboada 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 5.8% 6.5% 7.0% 8.0% 9.2% 8.3% 9.2% 8.4% 8.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Cooper Smith 5.5% 5.0% 5.8% 6.6% 6.7% 6.1% 8.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.8% 9.6% 9.3% 6.8% 4.2% 1.5%
Charles Gish 17.4% 15.8% 13.5% 11.8% 11.7% 8.8% 7.0% 5.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 9.3% 7.6% 10.7% 10.1% 10.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.1% 7.7% 6.6% 6.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Mathias Reimer 10.2% 10.8% 11.1% 9.9% 8.8% 9.7% 9.4% 7.6% 7.6% 5.9% 4.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Tessa Hason 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 5.2% 7.4% 10.2% 15.5% 20.5% 19.1%
Emil Tullberg 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 9.0% 7.1% 5.5% 2.8% 0.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 3.9% 5.1% 7.4% 12.2% 21.4% 33.5%
Luke Kenahan 2.0% 2.5% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 4.9% 4.5% 5.3% 7.8% 9.8% 12.0% 15.8% 13.2% 8.8%
Nolan Cooper 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.9% 6.8% 8.0% 9.1% 7.4% 9.5% 11.1% 9.2% 6.0% 2.2%
Amanda Yolles 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 2.1% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 5.3% 7.7% 12.4% 21.6% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.