Race 12B

victorian-coffee-urn

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Atlantic Brugman 13.2% 13.3% 12.0% 9.8% 10.3% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 5.2% 4.6% 3.7% 2.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Morgan Russom 5.4% 5.3% 5.4% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 6.9% 5.5% 7.1% 8.1% 8.1% 7.9% 8.1% 6.4% 5.1%
Caroline Wilhelm 4.7% 5.6% 5.9% 4.6% 5.8% 6.6% 6.2% 5.6% 8.3% 7.1% 7.6% 9.5% 8.0% 9.9% 4.6%
Hillary Noble 4.5% 4.4% 5.1% 5.4% 6.0% 6.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.4% 7.8% 7.5% 8.7% 10.1% 9.6% 5.9%
Briana Provancha 9.9% 10.7% 7.5% 9.5% 9.4% 6.7% 8.7% 9.0% 7.2% 6.2% 5.4% 3.5% 3.0% 2.8% 0.5%
Hannah Burroughs 4.7% 6.6% 6.1% 5.3% 6.1% 7.5% 6.4% 8.5% 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 5.7% 3.2%
Kaye Siemers 7.1% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 5.4% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6% 8.8% 6.7% 7.7% 7.9% 6.2% 6.7% 4.4%
Jennifer Proctor 8.6% 8.9% 7.7% 9.1% 6.6% 8.5% 9.2% 8.2% 6.5% 7.2% 5.5% 5.9% 4.8% 1.9% 1.4%
Natalie Salk 9.6% 9.2% 12.2% 8.9% 9.3% 8.6% 6.9% 8.1% 6.7% 6.7% 5.5% 3.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5%
Kelsey Wheeler 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 8.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.9% 7.1% 7.2% 8.3% 6.6% 6.2% 5.6% 3.9% 2.3%
Carly Shevitz 3.1% 3.4% 3.3% 4.4% 5.1% 4.4% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 5.8% 7.8% 8.8% 8.5% 15.4% 13.1%
Marlena Fauer 12.1% 11.4% 10.8% 11.3% 8.9% 8.9% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 4.7% 4.0% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Liv Gunnarsson 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 5.3% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 6.0% 8.5% 9.0% 8.7% 10.0% 6.6% 5.3%
Bianca Rom 1.5% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 2.8% 1.7% 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 5.9% 6.0% 8.5% 13.9% 42.8%
Sarah Fiske 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.0% 5.1% 5.6% 5.0% 5.4% 4.8% 6.5% 7.5% 9.5% 12.4% 13.6% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.