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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.26+2.90vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.21vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.00+1.12vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.23+0.47vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.97+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.72-2.30vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.16+0.24vs Predicted
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9Denison University-1.18-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.04Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
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3.21University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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5.12Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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5.47Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.8North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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8.24Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.53Denison University-1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Pribe | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Brady | 43.4% | 29.9% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 18.7% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 3.1% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 4.9% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 33.3% | 16.3% |
| Max Ellsworth | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 69.9% |
| John Bennet | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.