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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.72+2.85vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.23vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.00+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.26-1.19vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.97+0.77vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.18-1.49vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.16+0.24vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.23-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Virginia Tech1.150.5%1st Place
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4.85University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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5.09Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.77North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.51Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.24Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.57Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 47.5% | 28.4% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 17.2% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Brian Pribe | 12.4% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Madelyn Giles | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 33.6% | 16.0% |
| John Bennet | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 69.5% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.