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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.72+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.26-0.22vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.97+1.69vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.18-0.51vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-1.23-1.37vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.00-2.81vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-3.16-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Virginia Tech1.150.5%1st Place
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4.88University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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3.2University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Toledo-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.69North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.49Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.63Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.19Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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8.21Ohio State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 47.5% | 27.7% | 14.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Ellsworth | 5.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 17.8% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brian Pribe | 12.5% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 30.9% | 17.7% |
| John Bennet | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 3.2% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 4.1% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Kruczynska | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 13.7% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.