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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.09+2.89vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.15+0.15vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.00+2.70vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.16-0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.72-0.02vs Predicted
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6Denison University-1.18-0.06vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.91-1.52vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.97-0.64vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.23-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.15Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
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5.7Ohio State University-1.000.0%1st Place
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3.4University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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4.98University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.94Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.48Ohio State University-0.910.1%1st Place
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7.36North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
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6.09Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Blackburn | 13.2% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Brady | 41.7% | 27.2% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 10.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 16.0% | 21.4% | 19.0% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| John Bennet | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 12.8% |
| Mark Myers | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 8.1% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 18.0% | 45.0% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.