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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.15+1.06vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.91+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.16+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.09-0.24vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.00+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.72-0.93vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.18-0.98vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.23-1.92vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.97-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06Virginia Tech1.150.4%1st Place
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5.66Ohio State University-0.910.0%1st Place
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3.47University of Illinois0.160.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.53Ohio State University-1.000.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Michigan-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.02Denison University-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.08Syracuse University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.36North Carolina State University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Brady | 44.0% | 28.1% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Myers | 3.8% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 9.1% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 15.8% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Drew Blackburn | 13.4% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% |
| Max Ellsworth | 6.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| John Bennet | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 12.5% |
| Christian Palanza | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| Madelyn Giles | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.6% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.