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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.83vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.68+4.50vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.58+7.05vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.51+9.17vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+1.12vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26+2.08vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-0.44vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.26+2.91vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.33-1.19vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.70vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-6.28vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute0.81-2.61vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.34-2.01vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University0.36-3.09vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.62+0.29vs Predicted
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16American University-1.94-0.16vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.5Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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10.05Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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13.17Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.12Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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8.08Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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6.56Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.91Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.81Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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5.3SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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4.72Christopher Newport University2.310.2%1st Place
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9.39Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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10.99Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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10.91Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.29Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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15.84American University-1.940.0%1st Place
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7.54SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 22.0% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 24.3% | 18.9% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam DeVita | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 15.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 33.1% | 36.1% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 25.8% | 52.9% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.