← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University0.26+9.89vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College2.05+3.25vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University0.58+7.08vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University2.31+0.71vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.27vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.44vs Predicted
-
7Washington College1.26+0.95vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.68-1.57vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.99vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University1.65-3.41vs Predicted
-
11Monmouth University0.36-0.13vs Predicted
-
12Ocean County College0.34-1.10vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute1.33-5.23vs Predicted
-
14American University-1.94+1.79vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute0.81-5.63vs Predicted
-
16Rutgers University-1.62-0.60vs Predicted
-
17Princeton University-0.51-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.89Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
-
5.25SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
-
10.08Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
4.71Christopher Newport University2.310.2%1st Place
-
7.27SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
-
6.44Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
-
7.95Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
-
6.43Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
-
4.01SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
-
6.59Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
10.87Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.9Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
-
7.77Webb Institute1.330.1%1st Place
-
15.79American University-1.940.0%1st Place
-
9.37Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.4Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
-
13.3Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Aaron | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 15.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 17.1% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Zane Tinnell | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 8.7% | 26.5% | 52.4% |
| Ben Hunt | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 33.6% | 36.2% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 22.1% | 20.6% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.