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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.81vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+4.14vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.68+3.46vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26+7.10vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute0.81+4.26vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.58+4.29vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26+0.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.73vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-2.24vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.33-2.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.52vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.31-7.32vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.34-2.01vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-0.72vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University0.36-4.19vs Predicted
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16American University-1.94-0.18vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.62-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.14Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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11.1Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.26Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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10.29Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.88Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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5.27SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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6.76Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.57Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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7.48SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.99Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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13.28Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.81Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.82American University-1.940.0%1st Place
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15.41Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 22.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Ben Hunt | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Paul Hart | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.4% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 14.9% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 24.1% | 19.5% | 6.9% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 24.9% | 52.9% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 32.8% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.