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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+5.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.39+2.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.70+2.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.24+0.94vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.20+0.47vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.59+1.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.52vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.36+2.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.58+1.98vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.11-4.31vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.56-4.36vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97-3.30vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.58-1.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79-2.12vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.44-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75University of Rhode Island1.057.3%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University1.3915.0%1st Place
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5.42Yale University1.7011.5%1st Place
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4.94Brown University1.2413.7%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University1.2010.8%1st Place
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7.48Fairfield University0.595.3%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.032.6%1st Place
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10.11McGill University-0.362.6%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University-0.582.2%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.1111.0%1st Place
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6.64Boston University0.567.4%1st Place
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8.7Salve Regina University0.974.3%1st Place
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11.16Bates College-0.581.9%1st Place
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11.88Salve Regina University-0.791.8%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont-0.442.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Edward Herman | 15.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Courtland Doyle | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 18.6% |
| Brayden Benesch | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 19.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 29.0% |
| Greer Page | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.