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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+2.87vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.68+4.48vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook1.41+4.45vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.33+3.73vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.05+0.21vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31-1.27vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.73vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.58+1.93vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-2.26vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute0.81-0.69vs Predicted
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11Villanova University0.26+0.16vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.26-4.17vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.34-2.03vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-0.70vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University0.36-4.21vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.62-0.61vs Predicted
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17American University-1.94-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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6.48Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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7.73Webb Institute1.330.1%1st Place
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5.21SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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4.73Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.27Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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9.93Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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6.74Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.31Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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11.16Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.83Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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10.97Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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13.3Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.79Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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15.39Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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15.84American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 21.3% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zane Tinnell | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Adam DeVita | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Paul Hart | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 7.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 32.4% | 36.9% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 26.1% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.