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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.65+5.41vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.05+3.24vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.83vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26+7.15vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.31-0.54vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.35vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.68-0.54vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.26-0.31vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute0.81+0.52vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.58+0.06vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.33-3.34vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University0.36-1.19vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook1.41-5.61vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.62+1.44vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.05-3.27vs Predicted
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16American University-1.94-0.15vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College0.34-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.24SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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3.83SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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11.15Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.46Christopher Newport University2.310.2%1st Place
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8.35Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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6.46Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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7.69Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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9.52Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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10.06Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.66Webb Institute1.330.1%1st Place
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10.81Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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7.39SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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15.44Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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11.73Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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15.85American University-1.940.0%1st Place
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10.95Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam DeVita | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 1.2% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hunt | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Zane Tinnell | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 34.7% | 40.8% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 28.6% | 52.4% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.