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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.68+4.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.45vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+2.85vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook1.41+2.75vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.05-0.21vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.34+4.09vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.36+3.00vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.33-1.19vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.58+0.24vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26+0.34vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute0.81-2.48vs Predicted
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12Princeton University0.05-1.15vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-5.59vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.26-7.10vs Predicted
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15American University-1.94-0.16vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.62-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Fordham University1.680.1%1st Place
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3.45SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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5.85Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.75SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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4.79SUNY Maritime College2.050.1%1st Place
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10.09Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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10.0Monmouth University0.360.0%1st Place
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6.81Webb Institute1.330.1%1st Place
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9.24Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.34Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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8.52Webb Institute0.810.1%1st Place
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10.85Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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7.41Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
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6.9Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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14.84American University-1.940.0%1st Place
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14.47Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Cooper | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 25.8% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 0.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Ben Hunt | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Zak Dasaro | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 12.2% | 1.4% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 25.2% | 56.0% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 34.8% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.