Race 11A

central-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Vidar Minkovsky 24.4% 21.2% 18.1% 9.3% 9.1% 6.6% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Hart 5.4% 8.5% 7.8% 8.1% 7.8% 9.1% 8.4% 7.5% 9.4% 6.6% 8.7% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Thomas Cooper 10.1% 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.3% 10.1% 9.0% 6.3% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 8.0% 10.5% 9.3% 11.0% 9.7% 9.2% 9.3% 8.6% 6.5% 7.0% 5.2% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 13.4% 13.7% 13.7% 11.8% 11.8% 8.3% 9.0% 6.9% 4.8% 2.4% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Troy Dittenhofer 2.2% 2.2% 2.6% 4.2% 4.1% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 6.7% 8.3% 7.6% 10.2% 14.3% 13.1% 6.5% 1.1%
Ben Hunt 4.8% 3.8% 5.0% 5.5% 5.1% 7.4% 5.7% 7.5% 8.7% 9.0% 8.4% 10.1% 10.9% 5.3% 2.6% 0.2%
Robert Jarrett 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 2.6% 3.7% 5.2% 9.2% 35.4% 36.3%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.3% 3.7% 3.7% 4.7% 4.8% 4.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.5% 9.1% 9.0% 11.6% 10.4% 7.9% 4.9% 0.6%
Andrew O'Brien 5.9% 6.3% 6.1% 5.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.2% 8.3% 10.1% 10.3% 8.2% 5.9% 4.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.6% 6.8% 7.4% 10.2% 8.8% 8.7% 6.8% 8.2% 10.8% 8.7% 5.9% 4.7% 2.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Zane Tinnell 7.4% 6.7% 7.2% 10.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.9% 7.0% 7.8% 7.1% 7.6% 6.5% 3.5% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Nina Van De Vaarst 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 5.1% 4.8% 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 8.0% 9.7% 10.0% 12.9% 12.1% 6.3% 1.0%
Zak Dasaro 2.4% 1.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 4.4% 3.4% 5.8% 5.8% 7.1% 8.5% 10.4% 13.6% 17.4% 10.2% 2.1%
Jordan Manowitz 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 2.4% 2.6% 6.8% 24.1% 57.3%
Curtis Aaron 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 5.3% 6.2% 5.6% 8.1% 9.8% 11.0% 12.7% 16.2% 7.1% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.