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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.53+6.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+4.55vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+1.66vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.12+6.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.17+0.58vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.71+1.42vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-0.08vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.60vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.47+1.25vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.29-5.50vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.84+2.75vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.80-0.74vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-0.16-3.60vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.24-1.64vs Predicted
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16American University-1.93-0.97vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook0.79-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.55SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.66Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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10.14Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.58Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.42Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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6.92Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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7.04Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.4Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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11.25Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.5SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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14.75Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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12.26Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.4Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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13.36Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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15.03American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.08SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| John Wilcenski | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 23.9% | 34.6% |
| Sean Boland | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Haley Clemson | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 15.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 13.8% | 25.7% | 37.4% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.