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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.52+3.35vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.71+4.70vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.84+0.66vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.17+1.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.45vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.31vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-2.14+7.77vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.11+0.54vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.24+3.89vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University0.53-2.73vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.16-1.37vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.80-5.51vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-2.35vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-0.80-2.34vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-0.12-5.54vs Predicted
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16American University-1.93-1.53vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.84-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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6.7Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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3.66Stevens Institute of Technology1.840.2%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.45SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.31SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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14.77SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.54Villanova University0.110.1%1st Place
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12.89Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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7.27Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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9.63Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.49Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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10.65Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.66Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.46Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.47American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.24Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liliana Loosbrock | 17.3% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kennedy | 20.7% | 18.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 24.0% | 34.1% |
| Brian Tiernan | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 8.7% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| William Sunkler | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Sean Boland | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| John Dixon | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 27.0% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 21.9% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.