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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.39+3.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.20+3.40vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.70+2.34vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.44+6.22vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.97+3.83vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.59+1.47vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.24-2.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.11-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05-2.33vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.56-3.20vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.58+0.10vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.58-1.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.79-2.14vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.36-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Roger Williams University1.3913.6%1st Place
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5.4Tufts University1.2011.3%1st Place
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5.34Yale University1.7012.2%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont-0.442.6%1st Place
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8.83Salve Regina University0.973.9%1st Place
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7.47Fairfield University0.595.7%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.2413.5%1st Place
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5.71Tufts University1.1111.1%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island1.057.2%1st Place
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6.8Boston University0.567.2%1st Place
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11.1Bates College-0.581.6%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University-0.582.2%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.033.7%1st Place
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11.86Salve Regina University-0.791.5%1st Place
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10.1McGill University-0.362.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Herman | 13.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtland Doyle | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 13.5% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Harrison Nash | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 19.4% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 30.2% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.