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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.52+3.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.32vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.20vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.71+2.81vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.38vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.84-2.26vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-0.50vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.12+1.28vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.16+0.74vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.47+0.50vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University0.53-3.53vs Predicted
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12American University-1.93+2.41vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.24-0.19vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.84+0.26vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-0.80-3.42vs Predicted
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16Villanova University0.11-7.21vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-2.14-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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5.32Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.2SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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6.81Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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3.74Stevens Institute of Technology1.840.2%1st Place
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6.5Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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9.28Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.74Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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10.5Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.47Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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14.41American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.81Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.26Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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11.58Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.79Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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14.91SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liliana Loosbrock | 16.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kennedy | 19.9% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Dixon | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 23.3% | 26.3% |
| Charlie Flynn | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 8.9% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 24.2% |
| Sean Boland | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Brian Tiernan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.