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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.90+4.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.17+3.24vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.71+3.55vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.12+5.40vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52-0.71vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.16+3.42vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.29-2.00vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.53-0.93vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.79-2.68vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.80+1.37vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-1.24+1.41vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.80-5.65vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.11-4.53vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.84-0.29vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-0.47-4.53vs Predicted
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16American University-1.93-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.24Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.55Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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9.4Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.29Columbia University1.520.2%1st Place
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9.42Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.0SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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7.07Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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6.32SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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11.37Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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12.41Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.35Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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8.47Villanova University0.110.0%1st Place
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13.71Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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10.47Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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14.04American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Manfredi | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Dixon | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 17.1% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| John Wilcenski | 14.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sean Boland | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 13.9% |
| William Sunkler | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brian Tiernan | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 21.3% | 34.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 24.4% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.