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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.17+4.80vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.90+4.73vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79+4.18vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.52+0.95vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.72+2.23vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.84-1.85vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.53+1.02vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute-0.47+3.05vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.12+1.30vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.71-2.66vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42+0.13vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-0.80+0.21vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.80-5.81vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.29-8.39vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.85-0.40vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.84-1.33vs Predicted
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17American University-1.93-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Fordham University1.170.1%1st Place
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6.73SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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7.18SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.95Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.23Villanova University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.15Stevens Institute of Technology1.840.2%1st Place
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8.02Monmouth University0.530.1%1st Place
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11.05Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.3Webb Institute-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.34Christopher Newport University0.710.1%1st Place
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11.13Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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12.21Ocean County College-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.19Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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5.61SUNY Maritime College1.290.1%1st Place
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14.6Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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14.67Rutgers University-1.840.0%1st Place
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14.84American University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Capozzi | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 13.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Miller | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kennedy | 18.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayleigh Godfrey | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| John Dixon | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Hurst | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Sean Boland | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 4.4% |
| William Sunkler | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wilcenski | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 24.0% | 29.5% |
| Emily Pooley | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 29.4% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 23.0% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.